Omnis Weekly Market Update – 22 September 2025
A mixed week for global equity markets as investors digested a raft of monetary policy decisions. US equities again reached record highs, while UK equities eased on the back of cautious commentary from the Bank of England.
Last week’s performance – major stock markets
| S&P 500 | 1.22% |
|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 0.62% |
| CSI 300 | -0.44% |
| Euro Stoxx 50 | 1.26% |
| FTSE 100 | -0.72% |
Commentary
US: STOCKS RISE TO RECORD HIGHS ON THE BACK OF 0.25 PERCENTAGE POINT INTEREST RATE CUT
Major U.S. stock indexes rose to record highs during the week, as the Federal Reserve lowered short-term interest rates for the first time in nine months. With the 0.25 percentage point rate cut in-line with expectations, investors’ attention quickly turned to signals from policymakers around the path forward for interest rates. The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections indicated that most policymakers expect to lower the central bank’s policy rate by an additional 50 basis points by the end of the year. Expectations for rate cuts in 2026 and 2027 also increased. Trade developments were also in the headlines following a Friday morning call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. In a social media post following the call, Trump announced that they had reached an agreement regarding U.S. ownership of the short-form video platform TikTok and had made progress on several other issues.
JAPAN: EQUITIES MIXED ON NEWS THAT THE BANK OF JAPAN PLANS TO SELL ETF AND REIT HOLDINGS
Japan’s stock markets registered mixed performance over the week, with the Nikkei 225 Index gaining 0.62% and the broader TOPIX Index falling 0.41%. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) surprised investors by announcing plans to begin selling its holdings of exchange-traded funds and Japanese real estate investment trusts much earlier than markets had anticipated - a move widely seen as a signal toward monetary policy normalization. As had been widely anticipated, the BoJ held interest rates steady at 0.50%, in an environment of domestic political and global trade uncertainty. However, for the first time during Governor Kazuo Ueda’s tenure, two policymakers dissented, preferring a rate hike over holding rates steady. The BoJ continued to assert that it will raise interest rates if the economy and prices develop in line with its forecasts.
CHINA: DATA POINTING TO AN ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN SEES INVESTORS TAKE PROFITS
Mainland Chinese stock markets declined as investors pocketed gains after a recent rally and a trio of indicators pointed to an economic slowdown. August retail sales rose 3.4% and industrial output gained 5.2% year on year, China’s statistics bureau reported, marking the worst monthly performance for both gauges this year. Fixed asset investment growth slowed to 0.5% in the year’s first eight months, the lowest reading for the period on record except for 2020, a pandemic year, according to Bloomberg. All three readings trailed expectations and pointed to a broad slowdown in China’s economy after it grew a surprisingly strong 5.3% in the year’s first half.
EUROPE: MIXED RETURNS FOR EUROPEAN EQUITIES AS INVESTORS ASSESSED A RAFT OF MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS
Major stock indexes were mixed. France’s CAC 40 Index gained 0.36%, Germany’s DAX lost 0.25%, while Italy’s FTSE MIB pulled back 0.60%. Norway’s central bank reduced its key policy rate by 0.25% to 4.0% - the second rate cut this year. The Bank of England left interest rates on hold and decided to slow their bond selling programme. Industrial production in the euro bloc rebounded in July by a seasonally adjusted 0.3% sequentially, after shrinking 0.6% in June. Increased output of capital, durable, and non-durable goods, despite tariff-related uncertainty, more than offset a contraction in energy production.
UK: UK EQUITIES EASE AS BANK OF ENGLAND LEAVES INTEREST RATE CUTS ON HOLD
The Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee voted 7–2 to leave the key interest rate unchanged at 4%, as expected. Policymakers also decided to slow the annual pace at which the BoE sells bonds on its balance sheet to GBP 70 billion from GBP 100 billion, partly to minimise the impact of sales on the gilt market amid higher long-term bond yields. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said: “Although we expect inflation to return to our 2% target, we’re not out of the woods yet so any future cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully.” The BoE’s decision to keep rates on hold came after economic data showed headline annual inflation stayed at 3.8% in August. Overall wage growth, which includes bonuses, rose to 4.7% in the three months through July - an increase from the 4.6% registered in the three months through June and well above the 3% level seen as consistent with the BoE’s inflation target. Although the unemployment rate remained at 4.7% in the three months through July, tax records showed the number of payrolled employees dropped for a seventh consecutive month in August, according to a preliminary estimate.

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Global equity markets were broadly weaker as concerns over AI valuations and persistent inflation weighed on investor sentiment. However, European and UK equities outperformed, supported by defensive sectors, resilient economic data and higher energy prices. Last week's performance - major stock markets

Some financial surprises can be much scarier than a ghost or ghoul – and much more real. There can be plenty of hidden pitfalls when it comes to securing your mortgage, some of which don’t feel real until you are faced with them. But they don’t have to be scary. Understanding the risks before they arise means that you don’t have to be blindsided by unforeseen complications or costs or scared of the mortgage monster under the bed once you’ve considered the problem. Advisers can help you face any fears you might have and plan for which risks might actually come your way. The mortgage rate that comes back to haunt you Mortgage borrowers can usually secure a new mortgage deal up to six months before their fixed-rate deal ends, allowing them to plan ahead. But, if this window is not used, you could end up on your existing providers Standard Variable Rate (SVR) – the real spooky season. If you haven’t chosen a new fixed-rate deal, your provider will automatically transfer you once your current mortgage deal ends, likely onto a more expensive rate. Having as much information as possible is key to avoiding a last-minute scramble to accept a new deal just to avoid going onto an SVR. It’s best to know when your current deal ends, take stock of your finances and credit and have a think about what you want out of your next mortgage, or the ghostly SVR just might stick around for longer than you would like. An adviser can help you make the most of your remortgage window and offer expert guidance on how your remortgage can support your plans. The offer that turns into a nightmare You wouldn’t want to buy a house only to find it comes with some unwelcome guests from beyond the grave. In the same way, you don’t want to be surprised by information that you could have had earlier on in the mortgage application process. Getting a Decision in Principle, sometimes called an Agreement in Principle, helps you assess your options before you make a formal application. Although it doesn’t guarantee how much you can eventually borrow, it will give you an indication of what you may be able to borrow, which you can use to plan the rest of the house-hunting process before making an offer. Advisers can guide you through the information needed and help you gauge the potential limits on your mortgage offer before you get too far into the process, minimising the risk of unexpected skeletons in the cupboard threatening your dream home. The hidden costs You’ll need to cover other costs such as legal fees, house surveys, valuation fees and Stamp Duty if it applies to you. Beyond the amount that will leave your bank account every month, there are additional costs when you move that can easily add up. But these hidden extras don’t have to feel like a curse. By looking at the whole picture with a professional adviser, they can help you budget for these costs or understand how they fit into the overall cost of buying your home. The mortgage that doesn't fit You wouldn’t just stop at the first house when trick or treating. It’s worth seeing what the whole street has to offer and filling your bucket with sweets along the way. Similarly, you shouldn’t just stop at the cheapest mortgage rate. It is worth looking at the whole picture, or you could find yourself worse off later on. You might not fit the lender’s criteria for the cheapest headline rate, or you might need other terms such as options for early repayment. An adviser can assess what’s happening in the wider market and offer advice based on how this affects your specific needs. Don't let your mortgage haunt you Unexpected financial surprises could come back to haunt you if you don’t consider them before getting your mortgage. However, getting advice early in the process can help you understand all your options and peek behind the mask. Advisers are there to have your back throughout your financial journey, whatever spectres appear. They can help understand your options and work towards securing your dream home, so you don’t move in to find it haunted. Then all that’s left to do is put up the Halloween decorations. YOUR HOME MAY BE REPOSSESSED IF YOU DO NOT KEEP UP REPAYMENTS ON YOUR MORTGAGE Approved by The Openwork Partnership on 31/10/26. Planguard Finance is an appointed representative of The Openwork Partnership, a trading style of Openwork Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Your First Home: a new government-backed house buying scheme announced for first-time buyers The Government has announced the launch of Your First Home, a brand-new equity loan scheme designed to help first-time buyers get on the property ladder with just a 2.5% deposit. The new scheme, which will be officially launched at the upcoming Budget, aims to break down the deposit barriers faced by some potential buyers when trying to buy their first home. It marks the return of a government-backed equity loan scheme in England, something which hasn’t been available since the closure of Help to Buy. While all the details are yet to revealed, here’s what we know so far. A smaller deposit Under the scheme, potential buyers will need just a 2.5% deposit – for example, £8,750 for a property worth £350,000. The Government will then provide a loan worth 20% of the property’s value to help pay for the purchase. For example, on our £350,000 home, the equity loan would provide a further £70,000 towards the purchase. That extra buffer means a borrower would require a smaller mortgage, compared to if they were buying with a 5% deposit alone. An interest-free loan Similar to Help to Buy, the equity loan will have an initial interest-free period, meaning in our example, there will be no interest to pay on the £70,000 for a set period. Details on how long and how it will work are expected to be confirmed as part of the Budget. By combining the interest-free equity loan and a smaller mortgage, it is designed to reduce monthly housing costs compared to someone borrowing 95% of the property’s value. By how much? The Government believes it could be as much as “hundreds of pounds per month” compared to a 5% deposit and a 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage. Only available on new builds The scheme will be available on new-build properties brought through developers signed up to the scheme. Further details of which developers and where are yet to be confirmed. However interest is expected to be high from housebuilders keen to tap into the additional demand the scheme could create. Following the announcement of the scheme, shares at major housebuilders – including Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon and Barratt Redrow all recorded double-digit gains. Caps and limits The Government has said the scheme will include a household income cap and local property price caps. In simple terms, this means the scheme won’t be available to first-time buyers above a certain salary or new-build property price. The income gap is intended to focus support on buyers who need help getting onto the property ladder, while the local property price caps will likely aim to keep scheme for houses that are most suitable for a first-time buyer. The property price limits are expected to vary depending on where you are buying, reflecting the differences in house prices across England. The exact income and property price caps are yet to be announced and are expected to be confirmed at the Budget. If you are considering the scheme, these will be important figures to check once the full details are released. Is it time to buy your first home? Your First Home could open the door for more first-time buyers, but with full details yet to be confirmed, it is important to understand what the scheme could mean for your own circumstances. Speaking to a mortgage adviser now can help you work out what you could realistically afford, understand your budget and prepare for when the scheme goes live. An adviser can also look at the full range of mortgage options available to you, rather than just focusing solely on the new scheme. There are mortgage options already available to help first-time buyers, while looking beyond new-build properties could open up more choice. An adviser can help you understand the options available now and consider whether waiting for the new scheme could be right for your circumstances. With the upcoming Budget expected to provide more detail on the scheme, getting advice early could put you in a stronger position to make an informed decision when the time comes. To start your home buying journey, speak to a mortgage adviser today! YOUR HOME MAY BE REPOSSESSED IF YOU DO NOT KEEP UP REPAYMENTS ON YOUR MORTGAGE Approved by The Openwork Partnership on 7 October 2026 OW 8230 Please note: As the First Home Scheme has not yet officially launched and further details are expected to be confirmed in the upcoming budget, the information contained within this article is based on what is currently known and may be subject to change. Planguard Finance is a trading name of Planguard Finance which is an appointed representative of The Openwork Partnership, a trading style of Openwork Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Global equities delivered mixed returns in what was a busy week for news headlines. US equities led returns, as investors digested conflicting headlines in the Middle East, rallying energy prices, a raft of central bank decisions and a flurry of corporate earnings results. Japanese equities lagged following a strong start to 2026. Last week’s performance – major stock markets

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1. Jan-25 : The FTSE 100 hit a record high as UK inflation fell to 2.5%, raising hopes for interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, as Trump raised tariffs on Mexico, China and Canada, markets grew cautious over how tariffs might impact inflation and economic growth. China continues to experience weak domestic demand. 2. Feb-25: Global markets diverged as trade tensions hit sentiment, while strong earnings fuelled gains elsewhere. US stocks fell amid tariff uncertainty and weakening consumer demand. Trump warned of a 25% tariff on EU imports and possible UK taxes, confirmed duties on Canadian and Mexican goods, and threatened an extra 10% on Chinese imports. 3. Mar-25: Global stock markets came under pressure amid growing concerns about the economic impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Stock market falls, trade tensions and weakening consumer sentiment, reignited US downturn fears. The EU responded to Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium with duties on €26 billion worth of American goods. 4. Apr-25: Trade tensions intensified as President Trump announced new tariffs on Chinese imports. Whilst stock markets tumbled, they did subsequently recover after the US paused most tariff increases. As a result, the global economic outlook has weakened, and investors are expecting central banks to cut interest rates further. 5. May-25: Global equity markets rallied strongly after the US and China agreed to a 90-day suspension (and reduction) of tariffs. This eased concerns of an escalating trade war between the two economic superpowers. Robust corporate earnings and better-than-expected retail and manufacturing data in the US provided further tailwinds for equity markets, however, analysts warned the full economic impact may still be felt. 6. June-25: Geopolitical tensions rose following an escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict; however, markets were happy to look through the noise, following the announcement of a ceasefire between the two countries. Global equities extended their gains from May, rallying strongly on expectations of additional trade deals and further interest rate cuts globally. 7. July-25: Global equities rallied strongly on optimism surrounding trade deals between the US and many of its key trading partners. Several indices hit record highs for the month, shrugging off concerns surrounding the potential inflationary impact of tariff implementation. 8. Aug-25: Global equities extended their rally in August, as the likelihood for near-term interest rate cuts in the US increased and second quarter earnings season delivered robust results. Several indices once again set new all-time highs, while Chinese equities rallied 10% for the month boosted by strong domestic buying. 9. Sep-25: Global equities rose in September following the announcement that the Federal Reserve recommenced cutting interest rates. Markets reacted favourably to commentary from Federal Reserve officials that further interest rate cuts are likely in the months ahead. 10. Oct-25: Several indices hit all-time highs in October, including the S&P 500, Japan’s Nikkei 225, the Euro Stoxx 50 and the UK’s FTSE 100. A combination of easing monetary policy, resilient economic growth, cooling trade tensions and strong corporate earnings saw global equities continue their march higher. 11. Nov-25: In November, volatility spiked to its highest level since April, driven by concerns over elevated tech stock valuations and a diminishing likelihood of a U.S. rate cut in December. Stocks rallied into the end of the month, as commentary from Federal Reserve members signalled a December rate cut was still on the cards, while corporate earnings continued to exceed expectations. 12. Dec-25: Global equities performed strongly in December, driven by resilient economic growth, AI tailwinds and a backdrop of falling interest rates. The U.S. was the exception, as it pulled back on valuation concerns. The Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve each cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points during the month, while Japan raised rates by 0.25 percentage points to their highest level in 3 decades. If you are invested in a range of funds within your portfolio these are likely to be spread across different regions of the world and, depending on your attitude to risk, a range of different assets. This diversification reduces the impact on performance of any individual event like the coronavirus crisis. We take a long-term approach to investing, and we do not let short-term events force us into making decisions about how we manage your portfolio.


