Omnis - Weekly Market Update
| S&P 500 | 1.92% |
| Nikkei 225 | 3.61% |
| CSI 300 | 3.24% |
| Euro stoxx 50 | 1.20% |
| FTSE 100 | 3.11% |
Commentary
US:
Stocks rally on better-than-expected inflation print
Stocks advanced for the week, shaking off volatile headlines related to U.S.-China trade relations and a pop in oil prices after the U.S. announced sanctions against Russia’s two largest oil companies. Small and mid-cap equities led the way. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has disrupted the release of key economic data series. However, inflation data released on Friday buoyed markets. Headline inflation increased to 3.0% from the 2.9% annual rate registered in August but was below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 3.1%. An early reading of the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) compiled by S&P Global suggested that business activity strengthened in October. Once again, the service sector was an area of strength, with the latest PMI reading notching a three-month high of 55.2. Manufacturing PMI also rose to 52.2 from 52.0, signalling an improvement in business conditions.
Japan: Stocks jump on announcement of Sanae Takaichi as Prime Minister
Japan’s stock markets rose sharply over the week, with the Nikkei 225 Index gaining 3.61% and the broader TOPIX Index up 3.12%. Markets welcomed the election of the Liberal Democratic Party’s (LDP) Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s prime minister, as her focus on the economy and proactive fiscal policy are likely to be positive for stock prices. Given the LDP formed a coalition with the Japan Innovation Party (JIP), Takaichi’s government can be expected to become relatively stable. Growing speculation that Takaichi could announce a large-scale stimulus package in the near term weighed on the yen. On the economic data front, inflation remained above the BoJ’s 2% target, with the nationwide core consumer price index (CPI) rising 2.9% year over year in September, matching expectations and accelerating from the prior month’s 2.7%. Energy and food prices drove the increase.
China: Tech rally drives stocks higher
Mainland Chinese stock markets rose amid strength in technology-focused shares despite economic data highlighting weak domestic demand. China’s economy grew 4.8% in the third quarter from a year ago, putting it on a “solid foundation” for meeting the official growth goal of around 5% this year, the country’s statistics bureau said Monday. Other data, however, highlighted several pockets of weakness in China’s economy. Retail sales grew 3.0% year over year (YoY) in September, the slowest pace since November, while fixed asset investment unexpectedly fell 0.5% YoY in the first nine months of the year. Industrial output rose a better-than-expected 6.5% YoY in September, driven by the booming export sector.
Europe: Equities rise on strong business activity data point
Germany’s DAX gained 1.72%, Italy’s FTSE MIB added 1.44%, and France’s CAC 40 Index was up 0.63%. Eurozone purchasing managers’ surveys showed business activity hit a 17-month high in October, supported by the strongest increase in new orders in two-and-a-half years. A solid increase in German output helped. However, business activity in France fell for the 14th month running and at the fastest pace since February. Consumer confidence in the eurozone rose to -14.2 in October, the highest level in eight months, from -14.9 in September, according to an early estimate from the European Commission.
UK: Stocks jump on December rate cut bets
UK equities performed strongly, as headline annual inflation in the UK unexpectedly held steady at 3.8% for a third consecutive month. Analysts polled by FactSet had called for an uptick to 3.9%. Core inflation, a measure of underlying price pressures, eased to 3.5% from 3.6% in August. This resulted in financial markets significantly raising their bets that the Bank of England would cut interest rates in December. Meanwhile, retail sales unexpectedly expanded for a fourth consecutive month in September, rising 0.5% sequentially, with strong volume growth seen by online jewellers amid demand for gold as well as in the non-store retail and computer and telecommunications retail segments. Economists polled by FactSet had predicted retail sales would fall 0.4%.









